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Monday, September 19, 2011

9.19-9.23 本周展望

本周大事:

1) 出QE3--等待QE3消息

估计市场走势:周一周二周三上午股市看跌,QE3在众望所归之下姗姗来迟,然后市场(可能先跌一下shake the weak hands, 然后周三下午,周四周五暴涨。(哇,what a magic)

社会,经济,市场是由人组成的;人,才是市场的决定性因素。 政治高于市场。

Blindly believing that market will function itself will not give you a big picture. 

Asset classes to watch:
Long多: Vix, spy, Euro, gld, slv,ETF-CEF,commodities ETF: RJA, Inflation: tips, Gold miner: KGC
Short空: Dollar 

重点:盘面走势, 关键点位,分批建仓。预期涨幅最大的:白银,黄金,欧元,英镑,

思路:以上是我本周的Hypothesis, 建仓然后止损。

2)地产周:周一HMI,周二Housing Start 周三Existing Home Sales, 周四FHFA HPI,周五最大的地产公司KB

9/22/11
Didn't trade for some other reason.

Yes I didn't make a right hypothesis, but I wouldn't be losing much money because I might cut loss & change my bet direction. Follow the market.

Market is down 5%, major institutional investors are selling everything & holding cash.  You see Swiss Franc are going up, along with vix.

Only one group of people are happy right now: Intra-day traders, High Frequency Traders, Hedge Funds, those who use double-ultra ETFs are extremely happy about this volatility. Check the last 30 minutes trading volume, those are short covers.

















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